What I think is this:
In a way, yes, everything is predetermined. But not entirely.
What I think is that each 'decision' a person makes opens up a new, predetermined future. Based on what that person did, a predetermined event would occur. There is a chance, though not necessarily an equal one, of each option being picked.
For instance, say that if you had chosen to ignore your father and touch the chair, the world would have ended in an epic explosion. (=)) That was predetermined. But you didn't pick that choice, instead, you went a different path, and get a different predetermined choice.
Now, this is not complete free will. Their is an interconnectedness sort of thing going on. For example, say you are in a race for a job promotion. If all was free will, you would be able to simply work very hard and it's yours. But the way I think it works is this: The choices split, sorta into subchoices, based on what others do. For instance, if you give 70% of the total effort you could give, but the other person only gave 10%, it's yours. But if the other person 'chooses' to work harder than you, say 75% to 70%, then even though you 'chose to try for the promotion, you wouldn't get it.
Do you understand? I know it's complicated. Hard ofr me to understand sometimes =) But what I'm trying to get across is this: It's a mix of 'free' will and determinism, because although your choices would give predetermined events, these could be altered, beyond your control, by the choices of others.
Now, if, as the hologram thing I put up claims, reality is a holographic thingy, that completely chucks my idea out the window, and it's straight to determinism... though now that I think about it, having past, present, and future be all one in the same would be.... i dunno, would that be determinism?
So, yeah. i think my idea or a really weird outcome =) But definitely no free will, and everything isn't just complete randomness.