There is a newborn baby in a diaper. She is beautiful and sweet , sleeping soundly and contentedly after having finished a seemingly satisfying meal
Being a brand new parent, with a brand new child, sleep is a precious commodity that you must take every opportunity to acquire. The standing rule is that if the baby is sleeping, you also should sleep.
However, through observation and your limited experience you can deduce with 100% certainty the following:
A. The diaper is soiled (The stripe turned blue shortly after the child made some intriguing facial expressions and/or noises. )
B. The baby may or may not wake up when changed, with an unknown chance of going back to sleep shortly after and until the next feeding.
C. If you do not change the diaper, there is an unknown chance the baby will wake up and may or may not go back to sleep until the next feeding.
D. The chance that the baby continues sleeping after a diaper change, and that she will remain sleeping if you do not change the diaper are independent of each other.
E. Also, there is a random chance that the sweet darling will soil the new diaper immediately after changing , renewing the problem, but cumulatively reducing the odds of a successful continuance of sleep.
F. Further, there is an equally random chance that the baby will wake up spontaneously for no discernible reason.
There are two questions here:
1. Based on your overwhelming need for rest, do you change the diaper or not? Please explain your answer.
2. What chance, expressed as a percentage, do you have for sleeping through the remaining golden hour until the next feeding? Show your work, please.
note to mods: I wasn't sure where to post this one. It is a little too irreverent for the new puzzles forum, although I would have been interested in the types of responses it garnered, out of curiosity. While tongue in cheek, it is not exactly funny enough to be a joke. Feel free to move it if you deem it so.
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There is a newborn baby in a diaper. She is beautiful and sweet , sleeping soundly and contentedly after having finished a seemingly satisfying meal
Being a brand new parent, with a brand new child, sleep is a precious commodity that you must take every opportunity to acquire. The standing rule is that if the baby is sleeping, you also should sleep.
However, through observation and your limited experience you can deduce with 100% certainty the following:
A. The diaper is soiled (The stripe turned blue shortly after the child made some intriguing facial expressions and/or noises. )
B. The baby may or may not wake up when changed, with an unknown chance of going back to sleep shortly after and until the next feeding.
C. If you do not change the diaper, there is an unknown chance the baby will wake up and may or may not go back to sleep until the next feeding.
D. The chance that the baby continues sleeping after a diaper change, and that she will remain sleeping if you do not change the diaper are independent of each other.
E. Also, there is a random chance that the sweet darling will soil the new diaper immediately after changing , renewing the problem, but cumulatively reducing the odds of a successful continuance of sleep.
F. Further, there is an equally random chance that the baby will wake up spontaneously for no discernible reason.
There are two questions here:
1. Based on your overwhelming need for rest, do you change the diaper or not? Please explain your answer.
2. What chance, expressed as a percentage, do you have for sleeping through the remaining golden hour until the next feeding? Show your work, please.
note to mods: I wasn't sure where to post this one. It is a little too irreverent for the new puzzles forum, although I would have been interested in the types of responses it garnered, out of curiosity. While tongue in cheek, it is not exactly funny enough to be a joke. Feel free to move it if you deem it so.
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