Here are two related challenges; one simple, one more difficult
Challenge 1:
A magician produces a deck of four cards, 2 red and 2 black, and deals them face down [the backs of the cards are indistinguishable.]
He bets that you cannot point to two cards of the same color, and offers even odds.
A friend urges you to take the bet:
"There are only three cases: 2 red, 2 black and one each.
You win 2 out of 3 times."
.Another friend says you will neither win nor lose:
"There are four cases: red-red, red-black, black-red, and black black.
You win 2 out of 4 times, and that just matches the odds."
Quickly decide which friend is right.
Challenge 2:
A deck with equal numbers of red and black cards gives a probability p that two selected cards will have the same color.
If a card is removed the color symmetry is broken, and one color is more likely to be represented in the two chosen cards.
Calculate the increase in p resulting from the removal of the card.
Enjoy, and please use spoilers