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# The Land of Oz

Best Answer bushindo, 11 April 2013 - 05:15 PM

what do you mean by an "even chance" of getting snow or rain?

never mind, i explained the wrong part. If it rained today then there is a 50% chance of rain again and 50% it won't

If I'm parsing the probability correctly

Spoiler for
Go to the full post

5 replies to this topic

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 02:56 AM

The Land of Oz is blessed by many things, but not by good weather. They never have two nice days

in a row. If they have a nice day, they are just as likely to have snow as rain the next day. If they have snow or rain, they have an even chance of having the same the next day. If there is change from snow or rain, only half of the time is this a

change to a nice day.

How is the weather 15 days from now if there is a equal probability of each type of weather today (probability of each type)?

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### #2 flamebirde

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 03:37 AM

what do you mean by an "even chance" of getting snow or rain?

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Mafiosos and mafiosas of the world, unite! And then kill each other in a particularly tricky move that everyone suspects but never anticipates.

stand back. I'm going to apply logic.

Come join the battle against the Chromatic Witch! http://brainden.com/...nly-eat-orange/

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 04:40 AM

what do you mean by an "even chance" of getting snow or rain?

even chance of getting snow, rain, or pretty day

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 05:19 AM

what do you mean by an "even chance" of getting snow or rain?

never mind, i explained the wrong part. If it rained today then there is a 50% chance of rain again and 50% it won't

• 0

### #5 bushindo

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 05:15 PM   Best Answer

what do you mean by an "even chance" of getting snow or rain?

never mind, i explained the wrong part. If it rained today then there is a 50% chance of rain again and 50% it won't

If I'm parsing the probability correctly

Spoiler for

• 0

### #6 bonanova

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Posted 11 April 2013 - 11:13 PM

Agree with Bushindo and note it converges rather quickly.

After only a few days it's a fraction of a percent from the limit values.

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Vidi vici veni.

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