ShadowAngel7

ANCHOR can only have either the N or the R as the 1 correct. WASTER=0 means it can't be the R, so must be the N.

LOSE

By the way, just as a summary, we have the following unanswered: WHIRL (0-2) TRUTH (1-3) SHEET (0-2) SHEIK (0-1) TOPIC (1-4) TITAN (1-5) TYPED (1-5) Numbers in parentheses are the possibilities for the number, based on my logic.

Don't have another guess yet, but making some notes...out of *ECON****** only 1 is correct max, due to DECONGESTED IF *********E* is correct (fr. SOPHISTRIES), none of *ECON****** is correct, again DECONGESTED, and *****STR*** is correct along with either ********U** or **********T the STR sequence is almost certainly correct based on being in all of the sequences with >1, but can't quite prove yet. if UCT can be disproved, STR will be proved.

Don't wanna screw with the lack of tie, don't wanna stick with the abstain since its disliked. Please put my vote on panther to widen the margin.

GIRD

She said they'd be block on block and therefore no show.

SHEIK IF 1 then **E** b/c S*** known wrong b/c of T**** known right; *H*** known wrong b/c THING=1 w/ T**** known right; ***I* known wrong b/c MEDIA=0; ****K known wrong b/c THINK=1 w/ T**** known right. IF 0, then above reasoning will determine whether ***E* or ****N is correct (fabpig's and my last posts).

And if SHEET=1 then disproves ****N, b/c GROUT=0 disproves ****T, so correct must be among **EE*.

You should And I'll inaugurate guessing with GAME

CORNERS Identical score FARMING-HARMING indicates that the 2 correct must be among *ARMING no others fr that set can be eliminated. However, that says that F****** is incorrect (for FORMERS). COUNTRY=0 indicates C****** is incorrect (for CORNERS), and that *O***** is incorrect (for both CORNERS and FORMERS) It also indicates that ***N*** is incorrect (also for CORNERS), and that *****R* is incorrect (for both CORNERS and FORMERS). POLICES=0 indicates that ******S is incorrect as well (for both CORNERS and FORMERS). These leave the only possible correct letters as **RME** for FORMERS and **R*E** for CORNERS. If the score for FORMERS is 3, then it's easy; **RME** is correct, which would be confirmed by a score of 2 on CORNERS. If the score for FORMERS is 2, then the score on CORNERS would further narrow the correct letters. if CORNERS also receives a score of 2, then **R*E** is correct, and ***M*** is eliminated. If CORNERS receives a score of 1, then ***M*** is correct as the only difference between potentially scoring letters of FORMERS and CORNERS, and either **R**** OR ****E** is correct, but not both.

If INWARD is 2, then last is R: ANCHOR has 1, which is thus far unidentified. A can be eliminated due to ARIARY=2 with ***AR* known. C can be eliminated due to ESCAPE=1 with ***A** known. HO can be eliminated due to ***AR* known. This leaves *N***R as the only two letters that might be the source of the 1. if INWARD is 2 with ***AR* known, then *N**** must be wrong, leaving *****R as correct from ANCHOR. To confirm this: WASTER if WASTER=0, then *N**** is correct as all other letters in WASTER are known wrong: WA**** fr. WALNUT=0; **S*** fr. RESCUE=0; ***TE* from known ***AR*.

TRUTH

No the odds of getting the mafia kill is 1/39; odds of getting mafia kill assuming getting 2 kills is 2/3 so it's 2/3x1/26=1/39. Edit: math checking

1/4 odds the first in the tie is a kill. leaves 2 kills out of 12 is 1/6 odds. put them together it's 1/24. Then each kill has 1/3 odds of being the mafia kill. put together is 2/3 odds of lynching the mafia kill, assuming lynch of 2 kills. multiply that in, it's 1/36 odds of lynching the mafia kill blind. However, on looking back, that math isn't quite right. It should be close enough for approximation, though.

nah, we have a little over 10 hrs left as of now; but for all the US members, a fair bit of that'll be night still and early morning. And even then, ties are very risky.

Why are you gonna go for a tie after she said ties mean both die? That's not a very good risk to take....there's only a 1/24 chance both are kills and a 1/36 chance on of them is the mafia kill. Roster: 1. Hirkala - abstaining 2. Framm 18 - voting for Yodell 3. MikeD - voting for Hirkala 4. EDM ../../../public/style_emoticons/default/biggrin.png- voting for MIKI 5. Flamebirde - voting for Panther 6. mew - voting for Hirkala 7. Panther - voting for Hirkala 8. Thalia - abstaining 9. ShadowAngel - abstaining 10. Aaryan - voting for Panther 11.TheCube ../../../public/style_emoticons/default/cool.png - voting for Panther (due to PRESSURE of course!) 12.Yodell - voting for Panther 13. MiKi To un-tie things.

Well certain roles are more risky to keep alive than others anyway; ie a kill, while potentially awesomely useful, is also much more risky than a save. It might be worth it to lynch if we can have some insight as to what role we're going after.

This game won't be starting until after villager villager at the very earliest anyway

He said Monday, cube So can someone add me? I'm here fr phone...

my question was meant more as, would a non awakened mafia still show as mafia, or as villager

Okay posting fr phone, so can someone do the official add? I'm voting for hirk for pressure--panther seems to have plenty atm

And does that appearance depend on whether the lynched knows he/she was mafia? i.e., if the lynched is mafia but isn't awake yet, would the appearance be as an innocent, while an awakened mafioso would appear as mafia?

Nooooooo! I was so hoping for cake.... Lol and I totally agree with your sig re: Sherlock, Y-San.

I'm not certain it'll work, but my future roommate posted this to my wall on FB....