It had been a long time since Alex had dropped by Morty's.
Too long, as they say. So when he happened by last night,
he had some explaining to do.
Well I spent a couple days looking over the puzzles the blokes
there at BrainDen have been discussing. This particular one
was about flipping a coin three times. There are only eight ways
it will turn out, and none of them is more likely than another.
Still, they didn't seem able to grasp what would happen if they
raced each other one on one. Head-to-head, you might say,
he added with a wink.
Well it isn't all that hard to figure out, really. And so now I've got
a challenge: you pick an outcome - any one you like - say three
heads [HHH]. Then I'll take second choice - one of the others,
say two heads followed by a tail [HHT].
Then one of us flips a coin three times. If neither pattern shows,
he flips again. And again. Until the last three flips match one of
the choices. Kind of like a horse race, to see which comes first.
Whichever pattern shows first is the winner.
Since you get first pick, you really should offer me some odds.
But since I'm a nice kind of fellow, I'm offering to play you even up.
Jaime looked skeptical at first, and Ian wasn't saying anything.
Finally Davey spoke up. I'll play; but only if you offer me the odds:
your 8 quid against my 5.
Alex thought for a moment. You drive a hard bargain. But hey,
it's only a game, and we're friends, aren't we? You're on!
Has Davey, finally, gotten the better of Alex?