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superprismatic
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Question

We get rid of the condition that all

voters must vote, which was in the

Electoral College Puzzle, to

make this new puzzle. Everything else

is the same. In this new version you

can assume as few or as many votes

as you like in any state, up to its

population. How does this change the

answer?

I restate the problem with this new

change in bold:

We all know that it is possible for a

presidential candidate to win the U.S.

presidency with fewer voters voting

for him than for his opponents.

That's what this puzzle is all about.

In case you need a refresher, here's

how the process works: Each state

(as well as Washington D.C.) has a

number of electoral votes (EVs).

The candidate with the most votes in

that state (or D.C.) gets all of its

electoral votes1. The candidate who

gets at least 270 EVs wins.

Assuming this process, that the

number of voters in each state is

its entire population, and that not

all voters need to actually vote,

what is the fewest number of voters

which a winning candidate can have

voting for him?

1Footnote: Two states, Nevada and

Maine, can split their votes amongst

the candidates. For the purpose of

this puzzle, assume that they can't.

Assume the numbers, below, which

will be used for the 2012 election:


STATE EV POPULATION
-----------------------------
California 55 37253956
Texas 38 25145561
New York 29 19378102
Florida 29 18801310
Illinois 20 12830632
Pennsylvania 20 12702379
Ohio 18 11536504
Michigan 16 9883640
Georgia 16 9687653
North Carolina 15 9535483
New Jersey 14 8791894
Virginia 13 8001024
Washington 12 6724540
Massachusetts 11 6547629
Indiana 11 6483802
Arizona 11 6392017
Tennessee 11 6346105
Missouri 10 5988927
Maryland 10 5773552
Wisconsin 10 5686986
Minnesota 10 5303925
Colorado 9 5029196
Alabama 9 4779736
South Carolina 9 4625364
Louisiana 8 4533372
Kentucky 8 4339367
Oregon 7 3831074
Oklahoma 7 3751351
Connecticut 7 3574097
Iowa 6 3046355
Mississippi 6 2967297
Arkansas 6 2915918
Kansas 6 2853118
Utah 6 2763885
Nevada 6 2700551
New Mexico 5 2059179
West Virginia 5 1852994
Nebraska 5 1826341
Idaho 4 1567582
Hawaii 4 1360301
Maine 4 1328361
New Hampshire 4 1316470
Rhode Island 4 1052567
Montana 3 989415
Delaware 3 900877
South Dakota 3 814180
Alaska 3 710231
North Dakota 3 672591
Vermont 3 625741
Washington D.C. 3 601723
Wyoming 3 563626
-----------------------------
50 States+D.C. 538 308748481
[/code]

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10 answers to this question

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11

If he carries

California 55

Texas 38

New York 29

Florida 29

Illinois 20

Pennsylvania 20

Ohio 18

Michigan 16

Georgia 16

North Carolina 15

New Jersey 14

by 1-0 and if he gets 0 votes from all other states

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11

If he carries

California 55

Texas 38

New York 29

Florida 29

Illinois 20

Pennsylvania 20

Ohio 18

Michigan 16

Georgia 16

North Carolina 15

New Jersey 14

by 1-0 and if he gets 0 votes from all other states

or she... :D

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In the worst case scenario where only 1 person votes (for Candidate A) from each of the 11 High-EV states and everyone votes (for Candidate B) in each of the remaining 40 Low-EV states (plus D.C.), we have:

11 / 133201378 = .000008% of the voting population choosing the winner.

Edited by JDave
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So, interesting twist on this one, what is the most number of votes one could lose by and still win the election. Simplest case is

take the solution given with 11 states being required and assume everyone in the other states votes for the other guy

but that isn't optimial. What is? and can you prove it?

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So, interesting twist on this one, what is the most number of votes one could lose by and still win the election. Simplest case is

take the solution given with 11 states being required and assume everyone in the other states votes for the other guy

but that isn't optimial. What is? and can you prove it?

I don't get what you're asking for...

nm, I get it. Hmm, I'll think about this one a bit.

Edited by maurice
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Correction to the footnote: The two states are NEBRASKA and Maine that have legislated a difference to the 'winner-take-all' Electoral votes.

Let's not forget that at least 270 votes (the Electoral College majority) need be won.

...what is the fewest number of voters which a winning candidate can have voting for him?

The minimum number of Popular votes won can be...

0, with 270 as the minimum number of Electoral College votes.

In most States, if not all States, the Electors in the Electoral College may be appointed by their State Legislature. Of the several possible cases where this can occur, one would be where no voter in the general populace of the State cast a vote for a valid Candidate in the Presidential Election. Thus, a Presidential Candidate need not get any of the popular votes. Basically, the only requirement would be for the Candidate to receive a majority of the votes of the Electoral College. As the majority of Electors in this problem is set at 270, the minimum number of votes the Presidential Candidate needs to win is 270 Electoral votes and 0 Popular votes.

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Correction to the footnote: The two states are NEBRASKA and Maine that have legislated a difference to the 'winner-take-all' Electoral votes.

Let's not forget that at least 270 votes (the Electoral College majority) need be won.

The minimum number of Popular votes won can be...

0, with 270 as the minimum number of Electoral College votes.

In most States, if not all States, the Electors in the Electoral College may be appointed by their State Legislature. Of the several possible cases where this can occur, one would be where no voter in the general populace of the State cast a vote for a valid Candidate in the Presidential Election. Thus, a Presidential Candidate need not get any of the popular votes. Basically, the only requirement would be for the Candidate to receive a majority of the votes of the Electoral College. As the majority of Electors in this problem is set at 270, the minimum number of votes the Presidential Candidate needs to win is 270 Electoral votes and 0 Popular votes.

Thanks for the NEBRASKA correction (I got the N right!). The US constitution gives the state legislatures the power to appoint electors. As such, they may not voluntarily give up this constitutional power. However, all state legislatures have decided to go with their constituents votes as far as electors are concerned. But they can change their minds at any time, even after the popular election -- Florida was about to do this in 2000 when the Supreme Court ruling made this moot. As far as the OP is concerned, I said "Assuming this process...." which referred to the popular vote to choose electors.

Edited by superprismatic
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Thanks for the NEBRASKA correction (I got the N right!). The US constitution gives the state legislatures the power to appoint electors. As such, they may not voluntarily give up this constitutional power. However, all state legislatures have decided to go with their constituents votes as far as electors are concerned. But they can change their minds at any time, even after the popular election -- Florida was about to do this in 2000 when the Supreme Court ruling made this moot. As far as the OP is concerned, I said "Assuming this process...." which referred to the popular vote to choose electors.

If, for some reason, the Electoral College does not cast any ballots, the U.S. House of Representatives elects the President. The minimum number of Representatives voting for the President-elect would need be 26. Thus, 0 Popular votes, 0 Electoral votes and 26 Representative votes for the low number of 26 votes. If the House deadlocks, the Vice-President, elected in this case by the Senate, becomes the Acting President. If both House and Senate deadlock, the Speaker of the House becomes the Acting President. 0 Popular votes, 0 Electoral votes, 0 Representative votes, 0 Senate votes = 0 votes (an absolute minimum).

If the President-Elect is elected by means of the Popular vote, this would be 11 [as others have indicated in earlier posts] plus the 270 votes required by the Electoral College for a total of 281 minimum votes.

.

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So, interesting twist on this one, what is the most number of votes one could lose by and still win the election. Simplest case is

take the solution given with 11 states being required and assume everyone in the other states votes for the other guy

but that isn't optimial. What is? and can you prove it?

I can't prove it but I get -

174,012,615 votes

lose CA, TX, NY, FL, IL, PA, OH, MI, GA, MI, NJ, and VA all at 0 votes to the total population.

win all the other states 1-0.

270 electoral votes

Edited by smoth333
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