Gmaster479
-
Posts
2165 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Gallery
Blogs
Posts posted by Gmaster479
-
-
All roles are out and mentors assigned.
-
Wii got 'em
"This is-a terrible." said Mario. "All I want-a to do is play-a Super Smash Bros. with you guys, but no one wants to play our game anymore."
"That's because everyone is playing those war games now Mario. You know, Call of Duty, Halo and what not on the Xbox." quipped Marth.
"Pika Pika".
"Well then why don't we go after them? If we can't beat each other up why not try to beat up those games?" asked Link.
Meta Knight, Falco and Mr. Game and Watch all nodded their heads in agreement. The brawl was on.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~GM
Baddies: Xbox Franchises
- Have BTSC
- Night Kill (can't be blocked)
- WINCON: Be in majority
CALL OF DUTY: The most popular game for the Xbox Console. Has a trap each night.
HALO: A long-standing franchise. Can multiply anyone's vote by 2 or 0 each day.
BATTLEFIELD: Another solid Xbox Game. Spy each night
GOODIES: Brawl Characters
- WINCON: Kill the Xbox Franchises
MARIO: Nintendo's most beloved character. Has a block each night.
PIKACHU: Can shock someone into changing their vote each day.
KIRBY: Chooses a role to copy. Can use that role the following night or store it and copy someone elses role the following night.
META-KNIGHT: Best character in Super Smash Bros. Brawl. Kill even nights.
FALCO: Very sneaky. Can spy someone's role per night.
MARTH: Very persuasive. Can redirect anyone per night.
LINK: Always a hero. Save each night.
Host: GM
1. hotterthnfire
2. mew
3. flamebride
4. TheChad
5. smoth333
6. 'Cat'astrophe
7. maurice
8. mboon
9. tolecnal
10. curr3nt
Mentors:
1. Thalia
2. MiKi
3. MoMa
4. Shadow
5. Auramyna (happy to play if needed.)
6. Akriti ( or rather a backup )
Backups:
1. storygirl101
Notes
- maurice and curr3nt may become "mentors" for someone if a new person wants to play this game.
- I have assigned newer people mentors from the list below. You will not know which mentor is mentoring which player.
- Players, please note that your mentor is there to help you but you should have complete control over your actions and posts in the thread. Their advice is there as guidance but you should be the one making the final decisions
NIGHT 1 WILL END AT 11PM EST (-5 GMT)
-
Still waiting on confirmation from Storygirl. If I don't have one by 1 PM EST tomorrow, I will send out the roles and start the game thread then
-
Haha okay. I am waiting on confirmation from storygirl. Once I get it I will start the game. Expect to get your roles sometime tomorrow and for N1 to end sometime Monday Night
-
Copying the sign-up roster over
Host: GM
1. hotterthnfire
2. mew
3. flamebride
4. TheChad
5. (storygirl101)
6. 'Cat'astrophe
7.
8. mboon
9. tolecnal
10.
Mentors:
1. Thalia
2. MiKi [Course, I'm also available as a backup or even player if necessary.]
3. MoMa
4. Shadow
5. Auramyna (happy to play if needed.)
6. Akriti ( or rather a backup )
Backups:
1. smoth333
At this time if anyone wants to fill in one of the last two spots I will take more experienced players just to get this game going and finish it before another mafia of mine starts on another site.
-
Host: GM
1. hotterthnfire
2. mew
3. flamebride
4. TheChad
5. (storygirl101)
6. 'Cat'astrophe
7.
8. mboon
9. tolecnal
10.
Hi storygirl101,
Just "Quote" this post and remove the parenthesis from around your name if you want to play. Normally you just quote the latest sign up roster and put your own name but I wanted to reserve you a spot just in case you were interested
-
Good to hear. Mafia has stalled a little since I was last here it seems. We definitely need to quicken up the pace. This is the longest one of my games has gone without any sign ups. I'll give it till Wednesday before I just let non-newbies sign up but I'd rather find some newer people
-
Host: GM
1. hotterthnfire
2. mew
3. flamebride
4.
5.
6. 'Cat'astrophe
7.
8. mboon
9. tolecnal
10.
Mentors:
1. Thalia
2. MiKi [Course, I'm also available as a backup or even player if necessary.]
3. MoMa
4. Shadow
5. Auramyna (happy to play if needed.)
Just moving the sign-up thread over. I will not be addressing anything said in the posts above me as I feel enough has been said regarding this matter. Please let's just find people to sign-up. MissKitten I think you, Aura, Moma and Shadow should be the ones to go out and find new people in other forums who YOU want to mentor to play in this game. This will help fill these sign ups
-
Host: GM
1. hotterthnfire
2. mew
3. flamebride
4.
5.
6. 'Cat'astrophe
7.
8. mboon
9. tolecnal
10.
Mentors:
1. Thalia
2. MiKi [Course, I'm also available as a backup or even player if necessary.]
3. MoMa
4. Shadow
5. Auramyna (happy to play if needed.)
Added the mentors back. I will go start advertising this more and I hope our mentors will as well. I feel that our mentors could go to the Logic and Riddle forums and finding smart and intelligent members they would wish to mentor for this game. I would rather not let Hirkala's series be stopped because we can't find people who can sign up
-
Oh I apologize. We will have mentors. I forgot to add them back. Thanks for reminding me MissKitten
-
Host: GM
1. hotterthnfire
2. mew
3. flamebride
4.
5.
6. 'Cat'astrophe
7.
8. mboon
9. tolecnal
10.
Hello everyone, still need four more members to join. Please do not add people that aren't yourself to this list. Also if you have been removed from this list, I either feel you are too experienced to play this newbie mafia or you are trying to play for malicious reasons. Please go find four more so we can start this after Klue's Mafia.
-
Host: GM
1. hotterthnfire
2. mew
3. flamebride
4.
5.
6. 'Cat'astrophe
7.
8. mboon
9. tolecnal
10.
Yeah we are still waiting around are we...oh well. Maybe we get more once Klue's game is over. Again I am asking people to recruit if they can. Riddle-makers are usually good at mafia...
-
Host: GM
1. hotterthnfire
2. mew
3.
4.
5.
6. 'Cat'astrophe
7.
8. mboon
9. tolecnal
10.
Mentors:
1. Thalia
2. MiKi [Course, I'm also available as a backup or even player if necessary.]
3. MoMa
Seems a spot was just opened up. 5 MORE SPOTS. Also thank you KM. We have a lot of Mafias going on but I promise that we will play yours eventually
-
Still waiting on four more people. I would love to host this now while I have the time before the mafia I'm hosting on my other site gets going.
-
UPDATED QUEUE shows me that we have a lot of sign ups. From what I can tell there should be one TMM game ongoing and one non-TMM game ongoing. Right now the only mafias that should be focused on are Coup of Rhotus and TMM IX. After that we can deal with Sakura's and Molly Mae's Mafias depending on if people sign up for them
-
Game 1 is pretty obviously a losing game.
For game 2, this isn't a totally legit formal calculation, but could help provide insight.
Suppose you start of with N dollars and want to find out what the odds are that after three plays you would have N+3 dollars or N-3 dollars, thus putting yourself at the same spot modulo 3 but with a net gain or loss of $3.
PW3 = 0.9 * 0.9 * 0.01 = 0.0081
PL3 = 0.1 * 0.1 * 0.99 = 0.0099
So game 2 is also a losing game.
For game 3, if your bankroll is 0 mod 3 then your probability of winning the next game is
PW = 0.5 * 0.45 + 0.5 * 0.01 = 0.23
If your bankroll is 1 or 2 mod 3 then your probability of winning the next game is
PW = 0.5 * 0.45 + 0.5 * 0.9 = 0.675
Since the probability of winning is dependent on your cash in mod 3, using a similar approach as for game 2 of calculating the probability of winning or losing three consecutive games gives
PW3 = 0.675 * 0.675 * 0.23 = 0.1048
PL3 = 0.325 * 0.325 * 0.77 = 0.0813
And this is a winning game.
I realize that my math isn't totally legit since I'm only considering the probability of getting from $N to $N+3 or $N-3 by winning three consecutive games, and it doesn't consider more circuitous routes. If you really want to, you can make a spreadsheet to get exact probabilities after each round.
I agree that this has got to be it. I figured there was something to the combination of the two games that would make everything work. I think that a good follow-up to this problem would be if you had the choice to switch freely between each game and if so what is the best strategy to make money on these 2 losing games
-
I am never going to this casino
Obviously game 1 isn't going to work out in your favor. You will on average lose 100k and the chances of you breaking even or gaining money is about 10%
Game 2 is interesting. You will most likely start off losing $1 to start off and since the increment is $1 every time are you will always pull back to that 1 million you started out with at best and since that has a modulo of zero you have to lose money again. Since it is 10x more likely that you will lose money on module 1 or 2 versus gaining money on modulo 0 then you will probably end up losing money here too. Again not in a probability running mood, but I would assume that you would lose $10,000 on average through 1 million plays of game 2 but your chances of breaking even on this game are probably less than in Game 1.
Well..this one is obvious. If both games involve you losing money than letting a coin decide which game you lose on isn't going to net you any cash. However I am pretty sure you asked this to see that maybe by going between the two games, one where you lose more money overall but have a better shot of breaking even/gaining money and the other where you have less chance of breaking even but would lose less money in general, you could gain something. I don't see the point as far as figuring out this as my logic tells me that I would lose money so as far as answering the question goes...don't gamble
-
All looks good for me so far. Again I am on fall break now so I should have ample time to host this if we get some more people. I changed my sig and will continue posting around and I suggest that anyone who wants this to happen do the same
. -
Six more it seems. I know I haven't been around in a good while on this site but I'm sure that if look at then they will know I have hosting experience. I will go recruit in other forums to get this thing off the ground
-
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~GM
1. hotterthnfire
2.
3.
4.
5.
6. 'Cat'astrophe
7.
8.
9.
10. Sakura-chan
Mentors:
1.
2.
3.
Just moving stuff over. Again everyone please find new people to play and if not direct them to Unreality's Guide
-
Ahh an oldie but goodie. In fact so old that Rookie has this on his main page HERE in a format of a game and the solution can be found
-
Yes Molly Mae is correct. Everyone please try and find first time players for this game. Also mentors are free to sign up as well
-
ROLES
Baddies: Xbox Franchises
- Have BTSC
- Night Kill (can't be blocked)
- WINCON: Be in majority
CALL OF DUTY: The most popular game for the Xbox Console. Has a trap each night.
HALO: A long-standing franchise. Can multiply anyone's vote by 2 or 0 each day.
BATTLEFIELD: Another solid Xbox Game. Spy each night
GOODIES: Brawl Characters
- WINCON: Kill the Xbox Franchises
MARIO: Nintendo's most beloved character. Has a block each night.
PIKACHU: Can shock someone into changing their vote each day
KIRBY: Chooses a role to copy. Can use that role the following night or store it and copy someone elses role the following night.
META-KNIGHT: Best character in Super Smash Bros. Brawl. Kill even nights.
FALCO: Very sneaky. Can spy someone's role per night
MARTH: Very persuasive. Can redirect anyone per night
LINK: Always a hero. Save each night.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~GM
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
-
Well I have a game coming up on my other site that I expect most experienced players are itching to get in...
Anyway, onto TMM IX. I would HOPE Coup of Rhotus goes BEFORE this game and feel anyone who has played a game should sign up for it but whatever happens happens...
TMM IX: CALL OF THE BRAWL
Prelude: Wii got 'em
"This is-a terrible." said Mario. "All I want-a to do is play-a Super Smash Bros. with you guys, but no one wants to play our game anymore."
"That's because everyone is playing those war games now Mario. You know, Call of Duty, Halo and what not on the Xbox." quipped Marth.
"Pika Pika".
"Well then why don't we go after them? If we can't beat each other up why not try to beat up those games?" asked Link.
Meta Knight, Falco and Mr. Game and Watch all nodded their heads in agreement. The brawl was on.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~GM
I will add roles and such later. 10 person game, 3 v. 7. Sound interesting?
Newbie Mafia
in Games
Posted
Let's not post in here until someone wants to host TMM X