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Jamie's darts


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8 replies to this topic

#1 bonanova

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Posted 06 November 2007 - 09:53 AM

Good shot, said Davey, after Jamie's 1st dart.
Sorry, didn't mean to jinx you, he said, when the 2nd dart was farther from the bullseye.
Alex chimed in, I'll wager a pint your 3rd dart won't be better than your 1st.
You're on, said Jamie as he took aim.

Who is likely to win the bet? Or is it a tossup?

Assume Jamie aims for the center of the board all three times, and his skill is
the same for all 3 darts [not distracted or helped by the comments or the bet].
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#2 hipowertech

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Posted 06 November 2007 - 04:08 PM

At first glance, and again in a hurry; "sorry Cardinal Rule" as some guy in a big red hat whacks me with an incensce burner.

I would have to say his odds are lower since the body of the first dart covers a portion of the board Jaime likely needs to hit. Considering trajectories and the center of the circle.

This was all assuming he was going for the bull.

So tell me some more details Bonanova, were they playing cricket? was he shooting a low number when he hit the first mark? what was the coordinate of that first dart? Was the sun in his eyes? does he have a limp? How many pints has he had?

Looking forward to the answer.

Peace
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#3 Taidaishar

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Posted 06 November 2007 - 06:54 PM

Good shot, said Davey, after Jamie's 1st dart.
Sorry, didn't mean to jinx you, he said, when the 2nd dart was farther from the bullseye.
Alex chimed in, I'll wager a pint your 3rd dart won't be better than your 1st.
You're on, said Jamie as he took aim.

Who is likely to win the bet? Or is it a tossup?

Assume Jamie aims for the center of the board all three times, and his skill is
the same for all 3 darts [not distracted or helped by the comments or the bet].



I'm going to go with an easy answer....

Spoiler for solution

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#4 cpotting

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Posted 06 November 2007 - 08:45 PM

I'm going with Jamie losing the bet, for reasons similar, but not exactly the same as bonanova's
Spoiler for solution


Of course, none of this takes into account the point values on the board. If his first dart happened to hit the triple-twenty, then it doesn't matter where aims for, Davey wins the bet.
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#5 bonanova

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Posted 06 November 2007 - 08:46 PM

This was all assuming he was going for the bull.

So tell me some more details Bonanova, were they playing cricket? was he shooting a low number when he hit the first mark? what was the coordinate of that first dart? Was the sun in his eyes? does he have a limp? How many pints has he had?

Looking forward to the answer.

Peace


Going for the bull? Correct
Cricket? No. Morty keeps the place pretty clean.
Low number? I didn't notice.
Coordinates? 3 cm above and 2 cm right of bullseye.
Sun? No.
Limp? Yes. How did you know? People rarely notice. He covers it up so well.
Pints? Five.

Spoiler for solution

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- Bertrand Russell

#6 hipowertech

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Posted 07 November 2007 - 05:05 AM


This was all assuming he was going for the bull.

So tell me some more details Bonanova, were they playing cricket? was he shooting a low number when he hit the first mark? what was the coordinate of that first dart? Was the sun in his eyes? does he have a limp? How many pints has he had?

Looking forward to the answer.

Peace


Going for the bull? Correct
Cricket? No. Morty keeps the place pretty clean.
Low number? I didn't notice.
Coordinates? 3 cm above and 2 cm right of bullseye.
Sun? No.
Limp? Yes. How did you know? People rarely notice. He covers it up so well.
Pints? Five.

Spoiler for solution



Okay basically your politely saying "Your wrong"
Thank you, I relish the opportunity to practice a little humility.

BTW I made it into MENSA

Military
Education
No
Special
Abilities


snicker snicker

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#7 bonanova

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Posted 07 November 2007 - 06:07 AM

Okay basically your politely saying "Your wrong"
Thank you, I relish the opportunity to practice a little humility.

BTW I made it into MENSA

Military
Education
No
Special
Abilities

snicker snicker

Peace

Well ... I don't know whether you were wrong, or not.

The question was who will win the bet? Or is it a tossup?

Your clever answer was "his odds would be lower."
Couldn't tell if you meant Jamie's odds or Alex's odds.
So, no, I'm not saying you're wrong.

And congratulations on the MENSA thing!! That's great.
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- Bertrand Russell

#8 tshurtz

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Posted 10 November 2007 - 03:29 AM

this is simular but not as good as another puzle that involes three doors with one prize
the contestant picks one and the host shows him one door that doesnt have the prize, is he beter of switching doors to the unopened on he doesnt have or staying the same
in this case he has a 1/3 chance if he stays but if he changes he basickly gets the two other doors giving him a 2 in 3 chance
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#9 bonanova

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Posted 10 November 2007 - 01:03 PM

this is simular but not as good as another puzle that involes three doors with one prize
the contestant picks one and the host shows him one door that doesnt have the prize, is he beter of switching doors to the unopened on he doesnt have or staying the same
in this case he has a 1/3 chance if he stays but if he changes he basickly gets the two other doors giving him a 2 in 3 chance

Monty Hall = Dartboard?

O, I get it ... they both have the number 3 [doors and darts], and one of the 3 wins.

There are a lot of problems that have a 3, so let's dig a little deeper:

Spoiler for solution
I didn't get your answer.
But if you say that essentially MH = DB, then I guess you're thinking that Alex should have bet the third dart.
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The greatest challenge to any thinker is stating the problem in a way that will allow a solution.
- Bertrand Russell




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